sexta-feira, 19 de agosto de 2011

KARL MARX ESTAVA CERTO?

http://ceasefiremagazine.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/marx3-765x1024.jpgNa avaliação de Nouriel Roubini, professor de economia na Universidade de Nova York, a não ser que haja outra etapa de massivo incentivo fiscal ou uma reestruturação da dívida universal, o capitalismo continuará a experimentar uma crise, dado o seu defeito sistêmico identificado primeiramente por Karl Marx há mais de um século.

http://www.charlierose.com/images_toplevel/content/9/931/segment_9310_460x345.JPG

Roubini, (foto acima) que há quatro anos previu a crise financeira global, diz que uma das críticas ao capitalismo feitas por Marx está se provando verdadeira na atual crise financeira global.


Joseph Lazzaro - The International Business Time



Há um velho axioma que diz que “sábia é a pessoa que aprecia a sinceridade quase tanto como as boas notícias”, e com ele como guia, situa decididamente o futuro na categoria da sinceridade.

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

Dentre outras teorias, Marx argumentou que o capitalismo tinha uma contradição interna que, ciclicamente, levaria a crises e isso, no mínimo, faria pressão sobre o sistema econômico. As corporações, disse Roubini, motivam-se pelos custos mínimos, para economizar e fazer caixa, mas isso implica menos dinheiro nas mãos dos empregados, o que significa que eles terão menos dinheiro para gastar, o que repercute na diminuição da receita das companhias.

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
Agora, na atual crise financeira, os consumidores, além de terem menos dinheiro para gastar devido ao que foi dito acima, também estão motivados a diminuírem os custos, a economizarem e a fazerem caixa, ampliando o efeito de menos dinheiro em circulação, que assim não retornam às companhias.
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‘Karl Marx tinha clareza disso’, disse Roubini numa entrevista ao The Wall Street Journal: "Em certa altura o capitalismo pode destruir a si mesmo. Isso porque não se pode perseverar desviando a renda do trabalho para o capital sem haver um excesso de capacidade [de trabalho] e uma falta de demanda agregada. Nós pensamos que o mercado funciona. Ele não está funcionando. O que é racional individualmente ... é um processo autodestrutivo”.
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Roubini acrescentou que uma ausência forte, orgânica, de crescimento do PIB – coisa que pode aumentar salários e o gasto dos consumidores – requer um estímulo fiscal amplo, concordando com outro economista de primeira linha, o prêmio Nobel de economia Paul Krugman, em que, no caso dos Estados Unidos, o estímulo fiscal de 786 bilhões de dólares aprovado pelo Congresso em 2009 era pequeno demais para criar uma demanda agregada necessária para alavancar a recuperação da economia ao nível de uma auto expansão sustentável.
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Na falta de um estímulo fiscal adicional, ou sem esperar um forte crescimento do PIB, a única solução é uma reestruturação universal da dívida dos bancos, das famílias (essencialmente das economias familiares), e dos governos, disse Roubini. No entanto, não ocorreu tal reestruturação, comentou.


Sem estímulo fiscal adicional, essa falta de reestruturação levou a “economias domésticas zumbis, bancos zumbis e governos zumbis”, disse ele.

O economista norte-americano Nouriel Roubini
Fora o estímulo fiscal ou a reestruturação da dívida, não há boas escolhas


Os Estados Unidos, disse Roubini, podem, em tese: a) crescer ele mesmo por fora do atual problema (mas a economia está crescendo devagar demais, daí a necessidade de mais estímulo fiscal); ou b) retrair-se economicamente, a despeito do mundo (mas se muitas companhias e cidadãos o fizerem junto, o problema identificado por Marx é ampliado); ou c) inflacionar-se (mas isso gera um extenso dano colateral, disse ele).


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No entanto, Roubini disse que não pensa que os EUA ou o mundo estão atualmente num ponto em que o capitalismo esteja em autodestruição. “Ainda não chegamos lá”, disse Roubini, mas ele acrescentou que a tendência atual, caso continue, “corre o risco de repetir a segunda etapa da Grande Depressão”—o erro de ‘1937’.
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Em 1937, o presidente Franklin D. Roosevelt (foto) , apesar do fato de os primeiros quatro anos de massivo incentivo fiscal do New Deal ter reduzido o desemprego nos EUA, de um cambaleante 20,6% na administração Hoover no começo da Grande Depressão, a 9,1%, foi pressionado pelos republicanos congressistas – como o atual presidente Barack Obama fez com o Tea Party, que pautou a bancada republicana no congresso em 2011 – , rendeu-se aos conservadores e cortou gastos do governo em 1937. O resultado? O desemprego estadunidense começou o ano de 1938 subindo de novo, e bateu a casa dos 12,5%.


Cortar os gastos do governo prematuramente feriu a economia dos EUA em 1937, ao reduzir a demanda, e Roubini vê o mesmo padrão ocorrendo hoje, ao se seguir as medidas de austeridade implementadas pelo acordo da dívida implemented by the U.S. debt deal act.

Roubini também argumenta que os levantes sociais no Egito e em outros países árabes, na Grécia e agora no Reino Unido têm origem econômica (principalmente no desemprego, mas também, no caso do Egito, no aumento do custo de vida). Em seguida, argumenta que, ao passo que não se deve esperar um colapso iminente do capitalismo, ou mesmo um colapso da sua versão estadunidense, o capitalismo corporativo – capitalismo e mercados livres são rápidos demais e capazes de se adaptarem - dizer que a ordem econômica atual não está experimentando uma crise não é correto.
(publicado originalmente no blog advivo.com.br/luisnassif)

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